Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.004758 0.005382 0.006092 0.006969 0.008032 0.009294 0.010927
2025-12-21 0.003996 0.004808 0.005818 0.007199 0.009085 0.011646 0.015538
2025-12-28 0.003602 0.004522 0.005743 0.007541 0.010235 0.014332 0.021534
2026-01-04 0.003257 0.004217 0.005553 0.007637 0.011001 0.016631 0.027933
2026-01-11 0.002952 0.003914 0.005301 0.007569 0.011459 0.018530 0.034578
2026-01-18 0.002731 0.003696 0.005135 0.007587 0.012042 0.020821 0.043466
2026-01-25 0.002505 0.003445 0.004880 0.007406 0.012215 0.022350 0.051632
2026-02-01 0.002283 0.003176 0.004564 0.007071 0.012013 0.023000 0.057904
2026-02-08 0.002090 0.002936 0.004272 0.006733 0.011734 0.023384 0.063772
2026-02-15 0.001999 0.002846 0.004214 0.006814 0.012341 0.026176 0.081492
2026-02-22 0.001880 0.002703 0.004052 0.006672 0.012431 0.027651 0.095907
2026-03-01 0.001767 0.002561 0.003880 0.006489 0.012388 0.028747 0.110428
2026-03-08 0.001670 0.002446 0.003757 0.006414 0.012657 0.031152 0.139396
2026-03-15 0.001620 0.002406 0.003766 0.006616 0.013682 0.036749 0.211642
2026-03-22 0.001587 0.002393 0.003820 0.006920 0.015076 0.044888 0.366164
2026-03-29 0.001530 0.002331 0.003777 0.007005 0.015896 0.051538 0.592042
2026-04-05 0.001461 0.002245 0.003678 0.006944 0.016271 0.056572 0.905162
2026-04-12 0.001407 0.002180 0.003615 0.006960 0.016898 0.063722 1.621018
2026-04-19 0.001339 0.002087 0.003487 0.006800 0.016909 0.067473 2.544836
2026-04-26 0.001262 0.001973 0.003312 0.006502 0.016378 0.067445 3.277452
2026-05-03 0.001191 0.001866 0.003141 0.006201 0.015777 0.066611 4.046715
2026-05-10 0.001160 0.001832 0.003119 0.006273 0.016542 0.076506 13.593390
2026-05-17 0.001113 0.001765 0.003025 0.006147 0.016542 0.080751 38.365591